Thursday, February 16, 2006

Next steps: Leadership: Sooner rather than later.

There are few reasons for this.

First, this is a minority government. It could fall at any time.

The NDP are already posturing like that crazy uncle we all have, but hate to talk about. The one who shows up around Christmas, and drinks all the egg-nog, knocks over the crystal family heirlooms and departs until the next family bar-b-que.

I am doubtful that they will support Harper for long. The Dippers benefit the most from disarray in the Liberal Party and will topple this government given the first opportunity to do so in a favourable electoral situation. Watch them carefully on the next budget. And read a BCer in Toronto's analysis of this.

The BQ, however, will do what takes to keep Harper there until they have a stronger base, and can hold a referendum.

However, if Cannon, Fortier and Berniere look like they are making in-roads in Quebec, the BQ will pull the pin faster than you can say Rene Levesque.

Second, we need to solidify behind a leader and let that person define themselves. This is a difficult thing to do during an election. The longer we wait, the less time the new leader will have to introduce themselves and stake out their policy.

Thirdly, leadership campaigns require fundraising.

Longer campaigns require more funds. These funds will be raised as the party raises funds to pay down debt, and build for the next election. Leadership campaigns' fund raising represent competition to party fundraising, so get it done quick.

We need the money.

2 comments:

James Curran said...

Ah. No. We need time to get our own house in order. Unless, of course you think that we are a well-oiled machine. Don't know many who think that. Anyway. We need time. We are not the only party hurting financially. All of them are....even the Conservatives. So. Take our time. Choose the right leader. Someone that will lead for the ling haul, and lead in Liberal values. Someone that will hear all of our voices all of the time and welcome everyone to the table. Sooner is a bandaid for a wound that needs stitches.

The What Do I Know Grit.
thewhatdoiknowgrit.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

I also think a rushed leadership convention would not benefit us as much as one that takes the time to provide constructive rebuilding, a long fund-raising period, and some steady and solid policy discussion. A leader is just one of the steps needed to regain the confidence of a majority of Canadians. We need the show that we've learned from our mistakes, repositioned ourselves for 2006 and beyond, and step forward with a liberal vision for the future that will contrast with the Tories' targets. And the right leader picked in a true open contest -- its been 38 years since we held one of those -- will be the icing on the cake. That's my two cents.